Showing posts with label debt. Show all posts
Showing posts with label debt. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 12, 2011

It’s Not Just the Citizens Behind On Bills

Tens of millions of us are behind or struggling to pay our own bills each month. We are not alone. Here are some city and states that are also having money problems. Last year, city government revenues in the United States fell by 2.3 percent, the fifth year in a row that we have seen a decline.  Meanwhile, costs associated with health care, pensions and virtually everything else continue to explode. The story shows that 72 percent of all U.S. cities are laying workers off this year.
The City of Baltimore is being sued for almost six million dollars by a contractor who says it was not paid for snow removal from the Blizzards of 2010.
The majority of street lights have been removed from Highland Park, Michigan that was having trouble paying its electricity bill. DTE Energy Company has already repossessed 1,400 street lights in Highland Park as a part of a deal to forgive $4 million in unpaid bills going back at least five years.
A key subcontractor on the Cheney Stadium renovation project has sued the City of Tacoma and its general contractor, the M.A. Mortenson Co., amid claims it’s still owed more than $400,000 for work on the ballpark.
South Tucson needs Pima County to bail it out. This time it's for $1.4 million in delinquent jail costs that the little city simply can't afford. Portions of the bills date back a decade, the Star's Kellie Mejdrich recently reported.
An eastern Kentucky city has gone months without paying their electric bill at the water plant. Now the entire community could soon be left without clean water.
Harrisburg will be able to pay its bills and employees through the end of the year; the city appears headed for a state takeover.
COLUMBIA -- The South Carolina Department of Transportation is having trouble paying its bills on time, falling behind on payments of major construction loans and potentially putting jobs at risk and road and bridge improvements in peril.
NATICK — The Natick Housing Authority is approximately $350,000 in debt, has been spending money it doesn't have for four years and Executive Director Ed Santos said he knew about it for at least a year without telling the Board of Commissioners.
Nearly every major city in New Jersey is laying off frightening numbers of police officers, from Atlantic City and Camden, to Trenton and Paterson.
Cash-strapped Topeka, Kansas, has decided to stop prosecuting domestic violence cases in order to save money.
Oakland’s Police Chief Anthony Batts listed exactly 44 situations that his officers will no longer respond to and they include grand theft, burglary, car wrecks, identity theft and vandalism.
Prichard Alabama did something that pension experts say they have never seen before: it stopped sending monthly pension checks to its 150 retired workers.
SPIRITWOOD, N.D rips up asphalt roads and replaces them with gravel because gravel is cheaper to maintain.
 

Sunday, September 4, 2011

Spending Data

In a previous post we discussed the nature of our monetary system that is debt based and some real changes that could be enacted to make this a debt free monetary system. Today we will look at spending that will also need major changes to curb deficits. Remember that the deficits are the amount annually or each year that is spent which is more than the total income. Debt is the accumulation of these deficits.
Even if the US started to print its own debt free money to replace the debt bound Federal Reserve notes, this would take some time to replace the trillions of actual currency in circulation along with the trillions in electronic money. It is still important to bring the federal government back to its intended purposes and thus shrink the spending. Revenue could also be increased by policies that encourage US manufacturing in the US and discourage outsourcing.
This will be a simple look at the outlays spreadsheet, using a pivot table it still included over 31,000 rows of data! This can be found at the GPO Website here.
The $3.834 trillion spent in FY2010 is broken down (in billions of dollars):
Pensions
780.8
Health Care
898
Education
140.9
Defense
928.5
Welfare
471.5
Protection
57.3
Transportation
104.2
General Government
29
Other Spending
173.1
Interest
250.7


The interest according to this is less than our previous data shown. The data on this post comes from usgovernmentspending.com  as well as the GPO website (linked above) which is a net interest versus the gross interest shown on the previous post.
As shown in the image below, 2/3 of the spending goes to Pensions, Healthcare and Defense.









The Pensions include Social Security which is 85% of the pensions cost, and federal employees retirement and disability which is the remaining 15%, which includes our elected officials. Keep in mind that Social Security is paid (in theory) by us to this fund for use.
Health Care includes $357.7 billion to Vendor Payments for Medicaid and Medicare and 497.3 billion to actual Medicare dollars for seniors.
Defense is of course the military (both foreign and domestic) and related entities. Not counting Iraq and Afghanistan, the United States spends approximately $250 billion annually to maintain troops, equipment, fleets, and bases overseas. There are approximately 850 bases around the world. According to Defense Department figures, by the end of April the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan - including everything from personnel and equipment to training Iraqi and Afghan security forces and deploying intelligence-gathering drones - had cost an average of $9.7 billion a month, with roughly two-thirds going to Afghanistan.
Looking at Welfare, $190.3 billion (40%) goes to vendors. This is defined as payments under public welfare programs made directly to private vendors (i.e., individuals or nongovernmental organizations furnishing goods and services) for services and commodities, other than medical, hospital, and health care, on behalf of low-income or other needy persons unable to purchase such goods and services. This is in contrast to the $103 billion that go to needy families for food and nutrition assistance. These are direct cash payments through programs such as TANF, SSI and Medicaid. Unemployment makes up $106.6 billion of the Welfare payments and $6.9 billion is Workman’s Comp. Housing Assistance is $64.1 billion of which $10.3 is spent on HAMP. The remainder of the Housing Assistance is to low income folks and special programs such as Housing for Persons with AIDS among others.
The blanket Other includes forestry, agriculture, mining, energy and the like. All of the details can be found in the data linked above.
Total receipts (or income) are only $2.57 trillion which gives us a deficit of $1.27 trillion. It follows that 33% of the spending is beyond our means.  The recent so-called debt reduction is actually just cutting the amount of increases in projected deficit spending, not actually reducing the debt as is evident in the fact that the debt ceiling, or maximum amount of debt allowed, was once again raised.
It is important to acknowledge that much of the actual spending is buried in these various areas and much in secret. We constantly see stories on government waste:
These make it even more difficult to find out where our money goes. There are myriad off-budget gimmicks, unrecorded liabilities, and financial management manipulations on a scale that would put many executives of publicly traded companies in prison for securities fraud.  The bottom line is that our budget process has been broken for years, and the accounting system used by the federal government in the budget process is a fraud by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) standards.


Monday, August 1, 2011

About the National Debt


We hear a lot about our national debt lately. We are told more revenue (which means taxes and fees) and cutting spending will pay of the debt. This is a lie. While we definitely need to downsize government and cut spending, that alone will not do it.
When the government wants more money, the U.S. government swaps U.S. Treasury bonds for "Federal Reserve notes", thus creating more government debt.  Usually the money isn't even printed up - most of the time it is just electronically credited to the government.  The Federal Reserve creates these "Federal Reserve notes" out of thin air.  These Federal Reserve notes are backed by nothing and have no intrinsic value of their own.
The Federal Reserve then sells these U.S. Treasury bonds to investors, other nations (such as China) or sometimes they "sell" them back to themselves.  In fact, the Federal Reserve has been gobbling up a whole lot of U.S. Treasuries lately.  Some refer to this as "monetizing the debt", but that is not quite an accurate statement. That is, when the government gets $10 billion from the Federal Reserve there is interest on the money.
To put it another way, every dollar created is created with debt owed. The rate of return or how much extra you get back on a 10 year treasury bond is about 4.5%. That is $45 million on that ten billion the government had created. The rates of return on treasuries vary depending on the treasury maturity length.  To simply state it, every dollar in circulation has a percentage of debt that is owed by the government. And since the government debt is ours, we owe this debt.
When the Federal Reserve creates money this way, it does not also create the money to pay the interest on the debt that has been created.  Eventually this puts pressure on the U.S. government to borrow even more money to keep the game going.  So what this creates is a spiral where the U.S. government must keep borrowing increasingly larger amounts of money, where the money supply is endlessly expanding and where the value of the U.S. dollar is destined to continue going down forever.
According to Treasury Direct, the June 2011 interest on outstanding debt is $110,536,850,221.63! The total interest expense for fiscal year 2011 on outstanding debt is $385,871,949,498.62. That is over $385 billion dollars. This equals about 3% interest.
The following table shows the amount of interest only paid on the debt since 2000.
2010
$413,954,825,362.17
2009
$383,071,060,815.42
2008
$451,154,049,950.63
2007
$429,977,998,108.20
2006
$405,872,109,315.83
2005
$352,350,252,507.90
2004
$321,566,323,971.29
2003
$318,148,529,151.51
2002
$332,536,958,599.42
2001
$359,507,635,242.41
2000
$361,997,734,302.36
Total Interest Paid on National Debt
$4,130,137,477,327.14


When you take the $3.465 trillion spent in 2010 that is 12% that went to interest alone on the $14 trillion debt at roughly 2.7% annually.
Another way that money comes into existence with debt is Fractional Reserve Banking. According to the New York Federal Reserve Bank, fractional reserve banking can be explained this way-
"If the reserve requirement is 10%, for example, a bank that receives a $100 deposit may lend out $90 of that deposit. If the borrower then writes a check to someone who deposits the $90, the bank receiving that deposit can lend out $81. As the process continues, the banking system can expand the initial deposit of $100 into a maximum of $1,000 of money ($100+$90+81+$72.90+...=$1,000)." If a bank then has a $1 million in deposits they can loan out up to $10 million. All of this is at interest.
There is also a 9:1 ratio with money deposited in the central bank. That means that if a bank deposits $10,000 in the central bank they can loan up to $90,000 on that money. The 1:9 ratio then follows each time the credit from those loans are credited to a bank; say $15,000 for a car, the bank receiving the money can make the loan of $13,500 on that $15,000 deposit. It follows, the more money that is loaned on credit, the more money in the supply, all of this money is created as debt. And all of it with interest on the original principal created out of nothing.
As you see, not only is the amount of the debt our public servants accumulated beyond repayment, as long as the money is created as debt, with interest due, we can never pay off the debt.  What would happen if the debt were paid off?
Let us pretend that the US sold Alaska and Hawaii for $14 trillion and paid the debt in full. This would cause a sharp contraction in the money supply. It would cause a $14 trillion contraction which would lead to deflation.  Prices would drop as would paychecks. And since there would be less total money there would be fewer loans. This would lead to business, state, cities and federal government being short on cash and credit. This is clearly an oversimplification, since much of this money is held by external governments. However, this shows that we cannot just pay it all off.
If the pay off were slow, then deflation would in turn be slow. This would allow for a more realistic adjustment and more money to be created by private debt. That is debt such as you and I have on our mortgages, cars and credit cards.
So is there a way out of this mess?
The book, "The History of the Money Changers” is a concise and good overview for beginners. It also reaches the same conclusions that Bill Still and many others have reached. The writer states that Milton Friedman came up with the same conclusion. That conclusion is that a public debt-free currency like the Greenback is issued by the U.S. Treasury and used to pay off the national debt as fractional reserve banking is ended.
“Conclusions
In my research, I have discovered those critics who currently condemn the monetary system almost universally suggest that the only solution is to restore a gold backed currency. I don’t think any readers of this timeline can be in any doubt, that such a system will be open to abuse by those very people who abuse it today. Indeed if we introduced a currency backed by chairs, I believe we would find ourselves with nothing to sit on!
The only monetary system that seems to have worked in history is one which is backed by the goodwill of a government and is debt free, such as President Lincoln’s, “Greenbacks.” Fortunately, the Nobel Peace Prize winning economist, Milton Friedman came up with an ingenious solution of wresting back control of the money supply from the bankers, paying off all outstanding debt, and preventing inflation or deflation whilst this process is completed. I summarize this below.
Using America as the example here, Friedman suggests that debt free United States notes be issued to pay off the United States Bonds (debts) on the open market. In conjunction with this, the reserve requirements of the day to day bank the regular person banks with be proportionally raised so the amount of money in circulation remains constant.
As those people holding bonds are paid off in United States notes, they will deposit the money in the bank they bank with, thus making available the currency then needed by these banks to increase their reserves. Once all these United States bonds are paid off with United States notes, the banks will be at 100% reserve banking instead of the fractional reserve system and then fractional reserve banking can be outlawed.
If necessary, the remaining liabilities of financial institutions could be assumed or acquired by the United States government in a one-off operation. Therefore these institutions would eventually be paid off with United States notes for the purpose of keeping the total money supply stable.
The Federal Reserve Act of 1913 and the National Banking Act of 1864 must also be repealed and all monetary power transferred back to the Treasury Department. The effects of this will be seen very soon by the average person as their taxes would start to go down as they would no longer be paying interest on debt based money to a handful of central bankers.
A law must be passed to ensure that no banker or any person in any way affiliated with financial institutions, be allowed to regulate banking. Also the United States must withdraw from all international debt based central banking operations ie. the IMF; the BIS; and the World Bank.
If all the countries of the world adopted the conclusions above, then humanity will at last be free of these central bankers and their debt based currency. It’s a lovely idea, but first we have to get it past our corrupt politicians many of whom are quite aware of the scam that plays us on a daily basis, however rather than do the job we have elected them to do, they keep their mouths shut and instead look after themselves and their families, whilst the rest of us continue to be exploited.”
– Andrew Hitchcock, “History of the Money Changers”

However, it will not be easy or safe to end the central bank. In 1791 the First Bank of the United States was formed but intense opposition to foreign ownership by President Jefferson and others helped kill it by 1811. A Second Bank of the United States was formed in 1816 and this time they secured a 20-year charter. However, President Andrew Jackson was also opposed to foreign ownership and withdrew the federal deposits in 1832 as part of his plan to kill the bank charter in 1836.
An attempt to assassinate Jackson in 1834 left him wounded but more determined than ever to stop the central bank. Thirty years later President Lincoln refused to pay international bankers extremely high interest rates during the Civil War and ordered the printing of government bonds. With the help of Russian Czar Alexander II who also blocked a similar national bank from being set up in Russia by the international bankers they were able to survive the economic squeeze.
Both Lincoln and Alexander II were assassinated. In 1881 James Garfield became president and he was dedicated to restoring the right of the federal government to issue money like Lincoln did in the Civil War and he was also assassinated.
Years later John F. Kennedy opposed a private national bank and was assassinated in 1963 and Ronald Reagan opposed a private national bank and in 1981 an attempt was made to assassinate him. Coincidence or not the opposition to a privately owned national bank was a common characteristic to all these successful assassinations and assassination attempts.
Additionally, the banks can call in the loans and quit making new ones contracting the money supply as we seen in the Great Depression.  The difference with the plan noted above, the government could actually print enough debt free money to help offset the problems that would be found.
As President Lincoln said “The money powers prey upon the nation in times of peace and conspire against it in times of adversity. The banking powers are more despotic than a monarchy, more insolent than autocracy, more selfish than bureaucracy. They denounce as public enemies all who question their methods or throw light upon their crimes. I have two great enemies, the Southern Army in front of me and the bankers in the rear. Of the two, the one at my rear is my greatest foe. Corporations have been enthroned, and an era of corruption in high places will follow. The money power of the country will endeavor to prolong its reign by working upon the prejudices of the people until the wealth is aggregated in the hands of a few, and the Republic is destroyed."

Tuesday, May 17, 2011

Oklahoma Senate approves balanced budget

The full Senate has given its approval to a 2012 General Appropriations (GA) bill that will result in a balanced budget with minimal cuts to core services like education and public safety in the face of a $500 million shortfall.
Senate President Pro Tempore Brian Bingman praised Appropriations Chair David Myers, R-Ponca City, for his leadership in a challenging budget year. He also praised Senate Republicans for supporting a fiscally conservative plan that will ultimately strengthen Oklahoma.
“This budget is as much about saving and living within our means as it is about spending,” said Bingman, R-Sapulpa. “We have passed historic pension reform that will save our state over $6 billion and we are passing a balanced budget that includes an income tax cut. We have right-sized state government and we are making the state as efficient as possible with this budget. When is the last time the legislature saved as much as they spent?”
"This is a sad day for Oklahoma. Despite bipartisan opposition to the 2012 budget, the measure was narrowly approved by the Senate on a vote of 26 to 17 on Tuesday. Republicans, who for the first time control both the executive and legislative branches of government, claim they had no choice but to slash the budget by $500 million. These are budgets that had already been cut to the bone in three previous rounds of cuts." Senate Democratic Leader Andrew Rice said in a statement.
Bingman said he remained cautiously optimistic with trends indicating the state is slowly emerging from the worst days of the national recession, but stressed lawmakers had to write a budget based on levels certified by the State Equalization Board. While drafting the 2012 budget, lawmakers were confronted with the reality of a half billion dollar budget hole.
“Senate Democrats made it clear they would have preferred higher taxes, causing even greater hardship for Oklahoma families and struggling businesses,” said Bingman, R-Sapulpa. “Senate Republicans stood together to pass a balanced budget that will leave our state stronger and more secure in the long run.”
“I’m proud of our members for the courage they’ve shown in the face of these challenges,” Bingman said. “It is disappointing but not surprising that Democrats would rather throw rocks than help us bridge this shortfall and work together to strengthen our economy.”
The text if the 52 page bill can be found here.

Wednesday, March 9, 2011

35 Percent on the Dole

Social welfare benefits, including Social Security, Medicare and unemployment insurance, make up 35 percent of wages and salaries this year, up from 21 percent in 2000 and 10 percent in 1960, according to TrimTabs Investment Research using Bureau of Economic Analysis data. This is an increase from 21% in 2000.
“The U.S. economy has become alarmingly dependent on government stimulus,” said Madeline Schnapp, director of Macroeconomic Research at TrimTabs, in a note to clients. “Consumption supported by wages and salaries is a much stronger foundation for economic growth than consumption based on social welfare benefits.”
The economist gives the country two stark choices. In order to get welfare back to its pre-recession ratio of 26 percent of pay, “either wages and salaries would have to increase $2.3 trillion, or 35 percent, to $8.8 trillion, or social welfare benefits would have to decline $500 billion, or 23 percent, to $1.7 trillion,” she said.
Social welfare benefits have increased by $514 billion over the last two years, according to TrimTabs figures, in part because of measures implemented to fight the financial crisis
If we continue at this rate over half, 56%, will be dependent on government paychecks in just 10 years. That is using the increase from 2000 to 2010.
They did point out that in Europe the number is around 40%. That is like saying your brother did something worse when you get caught doing something wrong.

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

State of the Union

US Median Income
 According to the US Census Bureau the median income for 2009 was $49,777. This is the lowest since 1997 when the median income was $49,497, using inflation adjusted dollars.  The average per capita income, (Per capita income is the mean income computed for every man, woman, and child in a particular group. It is derived by dividing the total income of a particular group by the total population in that group excluding patients or inmates in institutional quarters) was $26,530 in 2009. The report also shows a drop of 4.57% in household income between 2007 and 2009. Most of that change came in the 2007 – 208 years with a 3.57% change or $1,860. According the data, the income was $52,163 in 2007 and $49,777 in 2009, a loss of $2,386 or about $198 each month.  

Chart 1 below shows the change in median household income since 2000. This indicates a $2,723 loss in income or 5.19%.


(Click on image to see full siize)

This decline or recession has yet to end as stated in the Census Bureau report. During the 1980 – 1982 recession there was a 6% loss and in the early 70’s recessionary period a 5.7% decline.
Conversely in the 1990’s the trend was just the opposite. Between 1990 and 1999 income rose from $47,818 to $52,587, an increase of $3,477 or approximately 7%, as shown in Chart 2 below.
(Click on image to see full siize)

In the 1980 – 1989 timeline income increase by $4,404 or 10%, again using 2009 dollars. As the graphs show there have been increases and decreases in the household income within each decade.  Chart 3 illustrates the trend between the years of 1975 and 2009.
(Click on image to see full siize)

This illustrates the increase has not been a straight line since 1975, rather a series of ups and downs within the time period. This is also to illustrate that the preceding decades listed here have started with a slight drop and then a noticeable rise. Also this is to show I am not just picking a small timeline for this report.
Unemployment
The current recession has seen a loss of employment by 4.5% in the first 35 months following the beginning stated as December 2007, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Compare this to the prior recessions of the 1970’s, 19780’s and 1990’s, all of which had shown improvements in job loss by this time.
The BLS also reports that the number of persons jobless for a year or more rose from 645,000 in the second quarter of 2007 to 4.5 million in the second quarter of 2010. The group’s share of total unemployment jumped from 9.5 %to a record high of 30.9%. Some researchers have attributed this increase in long term unemployment to firms preferring to hire those who have been unemployed for shorter amounts of time. Others say that lower turnover rates have closed the openings for these individuals. Still some of the researchers state that increased unemployment insurance benefits has contributed to the increase in unemployment duration, although some researchers have argued that the extension of unemployment benefits has had a limited impact on unemployment duration in the recent recession. Joblessness for a year or longer has increased regardless of educational level.
The number of people unemployed for 6 months or less made up 82.8% of those receiving unemployment in 2007 and now only account for 54.2%. Those without work for 6 months to 1 year make up the remaining 14.8% in 2010 while they were only 7.7% in 2007.
Long term unemployment will cause per capita and household income levels to drop. As those numbers of unemployed are spending longer durations without employment and overall unemployment risies, the income will obviously be adversely affected.
The BLS U-6 numbers, total unemployed, plus all marginally attached workers plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of all civilian labor force plus all marginally attached workers, show the rate at 16.7% at the end of 2011. Using these numbers, the U-6 unemployment rate in December 2001 was 9.6%. that is a 74% increase over that past 9 years.
Inflation
The BLS inflation calculator shows that $1000.00 in 2000 has the same purchasing power as $1278.88 in 2010. That is an increase of 28% due to inflation, or a loss of 28% in buying power. Remember from earlier there was a loss of 5.19% in household income during this same time period.  Taking the annual rates of around 2.4% over a 10 year period it is easy to see the cumulative effects of this seemingly low rate.
National gasoline prices have increased, as we all know. Given that almost everything we purchase has been delivered using a vehicle that is powered by gasoline, this will also affect overall prices. Energy Information Administration shows that a gallon cost $2.627 in the week of January 04 2010 and is, as of February 21 2011, $3.141 per gallon. That is an increase of $.514, or 20%.
The January all wheat price, at $7.40 per bushel, is up 95 cents from December and $2.50 above January 2010. The corn price, at $5.37 per bushel, is up 55 cents from last month and $1.71 above January 2010. The January cotton price, at 82.9 cents per pound, is up 2.0 cents from the previous month and 22.1 cents above last January. Compared with a year ago, prices are higher for cattle, hogs, calves, turkeys, and milk.

Putting it All Together
When you look at the increase of unemployment, loss of income and increase in real cost of living a bleak picture is coming into view. When you couple this with the ever growing national debt and consumer debt which reached $2.41 trillion in 2010, we have a lot of work to do to get this country back on track. A good note is that the consumer debt has dropped 6% since 2008. Granted, foreclosures, bankruptcies and charge off’s could have a role in this as the chart below shows bankruptcy filings increased during that same period. Another reason may well lie in the fact of increased unemployment and decreased income. Mix inflation with anxieties that accompany all of this happening at once and we are likely to use our credit cards less and, whenever possible pay them off.
(Click on image to see full siize)


More than 50 million Americans are on Medicaid, a survey of state data by USA TODAY shows. That's up at least 17% since the recession began in December 2007. More than 40 million people get food stamps, an increase of nearly 50% during the economic downturn, according to government data through May 2010. There were also more than 4.4 million people are on welfare, an 18% increase during the recession.
Regardless of the name you give it- recession or depression, we are in a bit of trouble.  As previously sited there are many things in Washington causing job losses and stifling growth.  Congressman John J Duncan Jr. said “In 2005, a study by the Small Business Administration found that businesses spent approximately $1.1 trillion to comply with Federal Rules. Confirming that, another study in 2009 by the Competitive Enterprise Institute said Federal regulatory compliance had reached $1.2 trillion for businesses.”

Monday, February 14, 2011

Deception at the Fed

Deception at the Fed
An intersting article by Ron Paul

Debt now equals total U.S. economy

Stephen Dinan
The Washington Times
February 14, 2011
President Obama projects that the gross federal debt will top $15 trillion this year, officially equaling the size of the entire U.S. economy, and will jump to nearly $21 trillion in five years’ time.
Amid the other staggering numbers in the budget Mr. Obama sent to Congress on Monday, the debt stands out — both because Congress will need to vote to raise the debt limit later this year, and because the numbers are so large.
Mr. Obama‘s budget said 2011 will see the biggest one-year jump in debt in history, or nearly $2 trillion in a single year. And the administration says it will reach $15.476 trillion by Sept. 30, the end of the fiscal year, to reach 102.6 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) — the first time since World War II that dubious figure has been reached.
link to story http://www.infowars.com/debt-now-equals-total-u-s-economy/